正态连接函数是正确的连接函数吗?

Is a Normal Copula the Right Copula?

Journal of Business & Economic Statistics · 2018
被引 12
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

提出了检验高斯连接函数是否适用的得分检验方法,适用于广义双曲线替代模型,并在股票收益分析中发现非高斯连接函数更能捕捉短期反转和动量效应。

Abstract

We derive computationally simple and intuitive expressions for score tests of Gaussian copulas against generalized hyperbolic alternatives, including symmetric and asymmetric Student t, and many other examples. We decompose our tests into third and fourth moment components, and obtain one-sided Likelihood Ratio analogs, whose standard asymptotic distribution we provide. Our Monte Carlo exercises confirm the reliable size of parametric bootstrap versions of our tests, and their substantial power gains over alternative procedures. In an empirical application to CRSP stocks, we find that short-term reversals and momentum effects are better captured by non-Gaussian copulas, whose parameters we estimate by indirect inference. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.

score test