Estimated Confidence Under the Validity Constraint
研究了在频率有效性约束下,线性模型常用置信集的常数覆盖概率估计量是可容许的,为这一广泛使用的估计量提供了事后合理性依据。
We examine the decision theoretic estimated confidence approach proposed by Kiefer, Robinson and Berger, and focus on results under the frequentist validity constraint previously described by Brown and by Berger. Our main result is that the usual constant coverage probability estimator for the usual confidence set of a linear model is admissible under the frequentist validity constraint. Note that it is inadmissible without the frequentist validity constraint when the dimension is at least 5. The criterion of admissibility under the frequentist validity constraint is shown to be quite a reasonable one. Therefore the constant coverage probability estimator which has been widely used is justifiable from the post-data point of view.