扩展的常条件相关GARCH模型及其四阶矩结构

AN EXTENDED CONSTANT CONDITIONAL CORRELATION GARCH MODEL AND ITS FOURTH-MOMENT STRUCTURE

Econometric Theory · 2004
被引 111
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

研究了常条件相关GARCH模型的一个扩展版本,推导了其一阶和二阶模型的平方观测自相关结构,并通过实证例子展示了理论结果的应用。

Abstract

The constant conditional correlation general autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model is among the most commonly applied multivariate GARCH models and serves as a benchmark against which other models can be compared. In this paper we consider an extension to this model and examine its fourth-moment structure. The extension, first defined by Jeantheau (1998, Econometric Theory 14, 70–86), is motivated by the result found and discussed in this paper that the squared observations from the extended model have a rich autocorrelation structure. This means that already the first-order model is capable of reproducing a whole variety of autocorrelation structures observed in financial return series. These autocorrelations are derived for the first- and the second-order constant conditional correlation GARCH model. The usefulness of the theoretical results of the paper is demonstrated by reconsidering an empirical example that appeared in the original paper on the constant conditional correlation GARCH model.This research has been supported by the Swedish Research Council of Humanities and Social Sciences and the Tore Browaldh's Foundation. A part of this work was carried out while the second author was visiting the School of Finance and Economics, University of Technology, Sydney, whose kind hospitality is gratefully acknowledged. The paper has been presented at the Econometric Society European Meeting, Venice, August 2002. We thank participants for comments and two anonymous referees for their remarks. Any errors and shortcomings in the paper remain our own responsibility.

扩展常条件相关GARCH模型四阶矩结构自相关结构金融收益序列