制定货币政策:目标与规则

Making monetary policy: objectives and rules

Oxford Review of Economic Policy · 2000
被引 115 · 同刊同年前 9%
人大 A-ABS 2

中文导读

探讨货币政策制定者如何设定目标并制定规则,包括央行独立性、通胀偏差问题以及简单与复杂政策规则的选择。

Abstract

What is it that monetary policy-makers do and how do they do it? The simple answer is that a central banker moves interest rates in order to maintain steady real growth and stable prices. In this essay, I examine the issues that arise in framing the problem faced by monetary policy-makers. I begin with a discussion of how, over the past decade or so, central banks have been made more independent and more accountable. The result has been the virtual elimination of the inflation bias problem that is caused by political interference in the monetary policy process, and better overall macroeconomic performance. The essay proceeds with an example of a formal version of the policymakers' problem, describing their objectives and the information they need to formulate a policy rule. I conclude with a discussion of a simple versus complex policy rules, the impact of uncertainty on policy-making, and how central bankers use formal modelling in making their day-to-day decisions. Copyright 2000 by Oxford University Press.

货币政策目标政策规则中央银行独立性通胀偏差