Estimating a retailer's base stock level: an optimal distribution center order forecast policy
研究证明,供应商若知道零售商采用基准库存策略,即使不知道具体库存水平或缺乏销售点数据,也应利用该知识来预测零售商的订单,以减少供应链效率损失。
Abstract Errors in order forecasts are a salient source of inefficiencies in retail supply chains. Many operational decisions made by suppliers hinge on order forecasts, which typically are based solely on either order or point-of-sale (POS) history. Using a discrete-time formulation, this research demonstrates that if a supplier knows that a retailer is using a base stock policy, it should use that knowledge to forecast the retailer's orders, even if the supplier does not know the base stock level and/or have access to POS data.