The Resilience of Employment in Wales: Through Recession and into Recovery
评估了威尔士就业周期在1980年代危机后的转型与韧性,发现其比英国整体更能抵御1990年代危机,并已从最近一次衰退中恢复至危机前峰值;住房和制造业调查数据是预测威尔士就业周期的最佳指标。
Sensier M. and Artis M. The resilience of employment in Wales: through recession and into recovery, Regional Studies. The dimensions of resilience of the Welsh employment cycle are assessed. The Welsh economy has undergone reorientation and renewal since the deep crisis of the 1980s and it was more resistant than the UK for the 1990s’ crisis and has recovered its pre-recession peak for the most recent crisis. To visualize the regional spread of the most recent recession in Wales, turning points in unitary authority unemployment claims are dated and a series of maps show when Welsh authorities entered recession. It is found that the housing sector and manufacturing survey data are the best predictors of the Welsh employment cycle.