Farmer Decision‐Making with Conflicting Goals: A Recursive Strategic Programming Analysis
通过构建代表性奶牛和肉牛/羊农场模型，分析农民在利润、家庭消费、投资和增长等冲突目标间的权衡，发现不同农户实现目标的能力存在显著差异。
This paper concerns the analysis of farmers' goal trade‐offs using a series of representative dairying and beef/sheep farm models. The models employ an adaptive feedback structure and expectations model to track adjustment processes over a seven‐year planning horizon, 1991/92 to 1997/98. Model solutions, under a conventional profit maximising objective function, and using a weighted goal programming formulation, under a series of empirically specified alternative goal orientations, are examined and compared. The paper identifies significant variation among farm families in terms of ability to attain key goals concerning farm profitability, family consumption, farm investment, growth and cash flow. The results quantify the trade‐off between family consumption and farm investment/growth goals.