Microsimulation for Local Impact Analysis: an Application to Plant Shutdown*
介绍了一个微观模拟模型，用于分析区域经济事件（如工厂关闭）对工人的影响，该模型整合了空间、社会和经济因素，可在不同地理尺度上汇总结果。
Abstract. Microsimulation was introduced nearly 50 years ago but has recently experienced a revival in the social sciences. Its use in regional science, however, has been limited, although it offers some advantages over common regional analytic methods. This paper describes a microsimulation model that can be used to analyze the impact of a regional economic event. The model incorporates spatial, social, and economic factors and allows outcomes to be aggregated at different geographical scales, for different cohorts, and for variables not ordinarily considered in impact analysis. The model is used to simulate the effects of a plant shutdown on workers.