成本在医疗保健离散选择实验中如何重要?

How does cost matter in health-care discrete-choice experiments?

Health Economics · 2010
被引 65
人大 A-

中文导读

分析了五个离散选择实验,发现边际效用常违背理论预期,原因是受试者将成本数值重新编码为定性类别(如低、中、高),这简化了选择但损害了支付意愿估计的有效性。

Abstract

Willingness-to-pay (WTP) estimates derived from discrete-choice experiments (DCEs) generally assume that the marginal utility of income is constant. This assumption is consistent with theoretical expectations when costs are a small fraction of total income. We analyze the results of five DCEs that allow direct tests of this assumption. Tests indicate that marginal utility often violates theoretical expectations. We suggest that this result is an artifact of a cognitive heuristic that recodes cost levels from a numerical scale to qualitative categories. Instead of evaluating nominal costs in the context of a budget constraint, subjects may recode costs into categories such as 'low', 'medium', and 'high' and choose as if the differences between categories were equal. This simplifies the choice task, but undermines the validity of WTP estimates as welfare measures. Recoding may be a common heuristic in health-care applications when insurance coverage distorts subjects' perception of the nominal costs presented in the DCE instrument. Recoding may also distort estimates of marginal rates of substitution for other attributes with numeric levels. Incorporating 'cheap talk' or graphic representation of attribute levels may encourage subjects to be more attentive to absolute attribute levels.

离散选择实验支付意愿边际效用认知启发式