油价冲击与离散假说

Oil Price Shocks and the Dispersion Hypothesis

Review of Economics and Statistics · 1986
被引 304 · 同刊同年前 5%
人大 AFT50ABS 4

中文导读

发现,Lilien的就业增长离散指数中很大一部分变动源于油价冲击对不同行业的差异化影响;在剔除这一影响后,剩余离散度对失业没有解释力。

Abstract

Recent research by David Lilien shows that a significant fraction of aggregate unemployment can be explained by the dispersion of employment growth across industries. This paper presents two new results in this area. First, it is shown that a significant fraction of the variation in Lilien's dispersion index is due to the differential impact of oil shocks across industries. Second, and more important, it is shown that, once the dispersion in employment growth due to oil shocks is accounted for, the residual dispersion has no explanatory power for unemployment.

石油价格冲击就业增长离散度失业行业差异