Impact of a gradual increase in milk quotas on the EU dairy sector
研究了在WTO协议和欧盟政策调整背景下，逐步增加牛奶配额对欧盟乳制品市场的影响，发现到2014-2015年取消配额与2009年起每年增加2%配额的市场效果相似。
The European Union (EU) dairy sector is facing significant changes due to EU enlargement, the Luxembourg reform and ongoing World Trade Organisation (WTO) negotiations. This paper explores the impact of alternative dairy policies in the context of a WTO agreement and further dairy policy adjustments. In particular, it analyses the impact of gradual but significant increases in EU milk quota and discusses the implications of different changes in the allocation of milk quotas. These scenarios are compared with the status quo as decided in the Common Agricultural Policy reform of 2003. We find that, by 2014–2015, the market effects of abolishing quota are similar to those of a 2 per cent gradual quota increase starting in 2009.