条件模型的无分布设定检验

Distribution-free specification tests of conditional models

Journal of Econometrics · 2007
被引 46
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

提出一类渐近无分布的设定检验方法,用于检验参数条件分布的正确性,通过鞅变换构造综合检验和方向检验,并以条件正态性检验为例展示其有效性。

Abstract

This article proposes a class of asymptotically distribution-free specification tests for parametric conditional distributions. These tests are based on a martingale transform of a proper sequential empirical process of conditionally transformed data. Standard continuous functionals of this martingale provide omnibus tests while linear combinations of the orthogonal components in its spectral representation form a basis for directional tests. Finally, Neyman-type smooth tests, a compromise between directional and omnibus tests, are discussed. As a special example we study in detail the construction of directional tests for the null hypothesis of conditional normality versus heteroskedastic contiguous alternatives. A small Monte Carlo study shows that our tests attain the nominal level already for small sample sizes.

条件模型设定检验分布无关检验鞅变换序贯经验过程