博弈论的十个小宝藏与十个直觉矛盾

Ten Little Treasures of Game Theory and Ten Intuitive Contradictions

American Economic Review · 2001
被引 568
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

报告了仅进行一次的博弈实验数据,涵盖静态与动态、完全与不完全信息等标准类型。每个博弈中,一种设置下行为符合纳什均衡预测,但改变收益结构后理论与实际行为出现巨大不一致,这些矛盾与收益不对称和噪声内省一致。

Abstract

This paper reports laboratory data for games that are played only once. These games span the standard categories: static and dynamic games with complete and incomplete information. For each game, the treasure is a treatment in which behavior conforms nicely to predictions of the Nash equilibrium or relevant refinement. In each case, however, a change in the payoff structure produces a large inconsistency between theoretical predictions and observed behavior. These contradictions are generally consistent with simple intuition based on the interaction of payoff asymmetries and noisy introspection about others' decisions.

博弈论纳什均衡一次性博弈实验室实验