求解随机价格下的多轮伐木收获问题:一种线性互补公式

On Solving the Multirotational Timber Harvesting Problem with Stochastic Prices: A Linear Complementarity Formulation

American Journal of Agricultural Economics · 2005
被引 123 · 同刊同年前 9%
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

用线性互补问题求解无限轮伐的随机价格收获决策,对比马尔可夫决策过程模型,并估算安大略省北方森林的代表性林分价值。

Abstract

Abstract This article develops a two‐factor real options model of the harvesting decision over infinite rotations assuming a known stochastic price process and using a rigorous Hamilton‐Jacobi‐Bellman methodology. The harvesting problem is formulated as a linear complementarity problem that is solved numerically using a fully implicit finite difference method. This approach is contrasted with the Markov decision process models commonly used in the literature. The model is used to estimate the value of a representative stand in Ontario's boreal forest, both when there is complete flexibility regarding harvesting time and when regulations dictate the harvesting date.

随机价格多轮伐期线性互补问题实物期权