评论——主观概率与博弈论:对Kadane和Larkey论文的评论

Comment—Subjective Probability and the Theory of Games: Comments on Kadane and Larkey's Paper

Management Science · 1982
被引 103
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

评论了Kadane和Larkey拒绝使用博弈论规范解概念的做法,认为即使玩家不完全理性,规范理论也能帮助形成合理预期。

Abstract

The normative solution concepts of game theory try to provide a clear mathematical characterization of what it means to act rationally in a game where all players expect each other to act rationally. Kadane and Larkey reject the use of these normative solution concepts. Yet, this amounts to throwing away an important piece of information to the effect that the players are rational and expect each other to be rational. Even in situations where the players do not expect each other to act with complete rationality, normative game theory can help them heuristically to formulate reasonable expectations about the other players' behavior.

博弈论主观概率理性预期规范解概念