Voluntary Disclosure of Profit Forecasts by Target Companies in Takeover Bids
研究收购要约中目标公司自愿披露盈利预测的影响因素,发现竞争性要约中更可能披露,且倾向于披露好消息,披露与出价提高正相关。
This paper examines factors influencing voluntary forecast disclosure by target companies, whether good/bad news forecasts are disclosed and the influence of forecasts on the outcome of hostile bids. Disclosure was significantly more likely during contested bids. In agreed bids, probability of forecast disclosure was greater the shorter the bid horizon. In contested bids, forecasts were more likely where there were large block shareholdings, for larger targets and for targets in the capital goods industry. There was a clear tendency to disclose good news forecasts. A significant positive association between forecast disclosure and increase in offer price was found.