名义政府债务的最优期限:一个无限期模型

Optimal Maturity of Nominal Government Debt: An Infinite-Horizon Model

International Economic Review · 1992
被引 77
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

分析债务期限在政策制定者倾向用意外通胀降低名义债务实际价值时的作用,发现名义债务会引发通胀,无承诺时最优政策需提前征税并偿还债务,且债务期限管理是关键。

Abstract

The role of debt maturity is analyzed in a framework that blends tax smoothing with time inconsistency of optimal policy when policymakers have an incentive to use unanticipated inflation to reduce the real value of nominal government liabilities. Three conclusions emerge: (1) nominal debt leads policymakers to resort to inflation even though, in equilibrium, inflation collects no revenue; (2) when under full precommitment the optimal policy calls for complete tax smoothing and a constant debt level, the equilibrium policy without precommitment calls for anticipating tax collection and early debt repayment; and (3) management of debt maturity is an essential component of the equilibrium policy. Copyright 1992 by Economics Department of the University of Pennsylvania and the Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association.

最优债务期限名义政府债务时间不一致性通胀税