Rice Production, Trade and the Poor: Regional Effects of Rice Export Policy on Households in Vietnam
结合区域CGE模型和家庭微观模拟，分析越南稻米出口政策及出口禁令对不同地区和家庭的影响，发现自由贸易虽推高国内米价，但农村和城市贫困家庭仍从中受益。
Abstract Analysing Vietnam's rice export policy and recent export ban in the context of rising food prices, this study combines insights from a regionally‐disaggregated or ‘bottom‐up’ CGE model and a micro‐simulation using household data. Three main conclusions are drawn. First, although there is little impact on GDP, there are substantial distributional impacts across regions and households from different export policies and market conditions. Second, both rural and urban households, including poor households, benefit from free trade, even though domestic rice prices are higher. Finally, under free trade, relatively large gains accrue to rural households, where poverty is most pervasive in Vietnam.