Analysis of the Car Accident Indexes in Spain: A Multiple Time Series Approach
为西班牙交通事故率建立模型,旨在为保险公司决策和交通管理部门提供更准确的预测信息,并验证复杂模型对预测效果的改进。
The main objective of this article is to specify and estimate a model for the car accident rates in Spain to improve input for the decision-making process for insurance companies and provide useful information for traffic authorities. The prediction performance of the model is also analyzed in an attempt to verify the improvement in prediction that takes place when more elaborate models are used.