协整系统中的分离与持久-暂时分解

Separation in Cointegrated Systems and Persistent‐Transitory Decompositions

Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics · 1997
被引 36
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

探讨协整系统中子系统分离对持久-暂时分解和长短期记忆因子分解的影响,区分完全与部分分离下的不同性质,并简要讨论非线性误差修正模型的推广。

Abstract

The notion of separation in cointegrated systems helps identifying possible sub‐system structures that may reduce the complexity of larger systems by yielding a more parsimonious representation of the times series. In this paper we demonstrate that although the subsystem cointegration analysis in such systems can be conducted in case of both completely and partially separated systems, the dual approach, i.e. calculation of the common stochastic trends, may turn out to yield properties of the trends that differ depending upon the type of separation under consideration. In particular, we demonstrate how persistent‐transitory (P‐T) decompositions and long‐ and short‐memory factorizations of a multivariate time series will interact across systems when considering the presence (or absence) of different types of separation. Generalizations to non‐linear error correction models are briefly discussed.

协整系统分离持久-暂时分解共同随机趋势误差修正模型