Advance Notice and Postdisplacement Joblessness
研究提前通知是否减少离职后失业。初步估计显示长期书面通知略微增加避免失业的概率,但不缩短平均失业时长;对户主、女性、非白人及高失业率地区效果显著。新方法控制内生性后发现实际减少仅2-5个工作日。
This article investigates whether prenotification decreases postdis-placement joblessness. Reduced-form estimates indicate that lengthy written notice is associated with small increases in the probability of avoiding nonemployment but with no decline in average durations. Significant reductions are found, however, for household heads, women, nonwhites, and in local labor markets with high unemploy-ment rates. A new method is developed to control for the endogeneity of voluntarily provided advance notice. This procedure suggests that previous research substantially overstates the degree to which preno-tification reduces nonemployment and indicates that the actual de-crease is between 2 and 5 working days.