亚式期权、对数正态之和与逆伽马分布

Asian Options, the Sum of Lognormals, and the Reciprocal Gamma Distribution

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis · 1998
被引 269
人大 AFT50ABS 4

中文导读

推导了相关对数正态随机变量无穷和的概率密度函数为逆伽马分布,并以此近似有限和,得到算术亚式期权的闭式解析解,比现有算法更快、同样精确且更直观。

Abstract

Arithmetic Asian options are difficult to price and hedge as they do not have closed-form analytic solutions. The main theoretical reason for this difficulty is that the payoff de? pends on the finite sum of correlated lognormal variables, which is not lognormal and for which there is no recognizable probability density function. We use elementary techniques to derive the probability density function of the infinite sum of correlated lognormal ran? dom variables and show that it is reciprocal gamma distributed, under suitable parameter restrictions. A random variable is reciprocal gamma distributed if its inverse is gamma dis? tributed. We use this result to approximate the finite sum of correlated lognormal variables and then value arithmetic Asian options using the reciprocal gamma distribution as the state-price density function. We thus obtain a closed-form analytic expression for the value of an arithmetic Asian option, where the cumulative density function of the gamma distri? bution, G(d) in our formula, plays the exact same role as N(d) in the Black-Scholes/Merton formula. In addition to being theoretically justified and exact in the limit, we compare our method against other algorithms in the literature and show our method is quicker, at least as accurate, and, in our opinion, more intuitive and pedagogically appealing than any pre? viously published result, especially when applied to high yielding currency options.

亚式期权对数正态和倒数伽马分布闭式解