协整与政府借贷约束:来自美国的证据

Cointegration and Government Borrowing Constraints: Evidence for the United States

Journal of Business & Economic Statistics · 1991
被引 157 · 同刊同年前 5%
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

从现值借贷约束模型中推导出可检验的假设,利用蒙特卡洛方法计算单位根和协整检验的临界值,并运用协整技术检验美国联邦政府是否长期依赖债务融资,数据拒绝了这一假设。

Abstract

Testable implications are derived in a present-value borrowing-constraint model for the U.S. federal government. Critical values for unit-root and cointegration tests are calculated with Monte Carlo studies. Cointegration techniques are employed to determine whether the government has been involved in perpetual debt financing in recent years. The data reject this assertion.

协整检验政府借贷约束现值模型单位根检验