Malthusian Models and Irish History
检验了马尔萨斯模型在前饥荒爱尔兰的适用性,发现支持该模型的证据不足,经济与人口变量的关系比标准模型复杂得多。
Malthusian models occupy a central position in the interpretation and analysis of long-term economic and demographic change in preindustrial societies. The models are logically plausible and attractive, but ultimately they will have to be confronted with systematic evidence before being accepted. In this paper results are reported that cast some doubt on these models in the case of prefamine Ireland. The results indicate that the evidence supporting Malthusian views is not strong, and that the modus operandi of the nexus between economic and demographic variables is probably far more complex than is implied in standard Malthusian models.