Effects of gradual food policy reforms in the 1990s
用一个多商品世界粮食市场模型,分析了1990年代工业国逐步降低农业保护率的效果:提高国际粮价均值、降低波动,给改革国和传统粮食出口国带来巨大经济利益,且改革国农村部门不会大幅萎缩。
A multi-commodity model of world food markets is used to show the likely effects of a gradual lowering of tariffiad agricultural protection rates by industrial countries during the 1990s. In addition to raising the mean and lowering the variance of international food prices, such reforms bestow large economic benefits on both reforming and traditional food-exporting countries. And, contrary to the fears of many in protective countries, there is no massive shrinkage of the reforming rural sectors. Instead, the disincentive effect of reform on food production simply slows the output expansion resulting from normal productivity growth. Keywords: agricultural protection, food policy, tariffication, trade liberalisation.