Behaviorally consistent optimal stopping rules
研究在无回忆的有界序贯搜索中,当决策者对概率的偏好非线性时,行为一致的搜索者如何制定最优停止规则,并分析拟凸和拟凹偏好下的不同策略特征。
This paper characterizes optimal stopping rules in a bounded sequential search model without recall for searchers whose preferences are nonlinear in the probabilities. The optimal search strategy may be dynamically inconsistent. However, if the searcher is behaviorally consistent, i.e., if he restricts his choice to strategies that consist of an optimal move at every stage provided that the same rule is followed in every subsequent stage then (a) if the preferences are quasiconvex then the optimal stopping rule has the familiar reservation level property, (b) if the preferences are quasiconcave then the optimal procedure may be a mixed strategy.