流动性偏差与横截面异质波动率的定价

Liquidity Biases and the Pricing of Cross-sectional Idiosyncratic Volatility

Review of Financial Studies · 2011
被引 206
人大 AFT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

研究了零回报和买卖价差对日收益率估计异质波动率造成的偏差,发现控制该偏差后异质波动率失去预测未来收益的能力,并在流动性外生冲击后定价能力显著下降。

Abstract

We model a microstructure effect on daily security returns, embodied by zero returns and the bid-ask spread, and derive a closed-form solution for the resulting bias in the estimated idiosyncratic volatility. Our empirical tests show that controlling for the bias eliminates the ability of idiosyncratic volatility estimates to predict future returns. We also find a significant reduction in the pricing ability of idiosyncratic volatility after exogenous shocks to liquidity evidenced in the 1997 reduction in the quotes to sixteenths and the 2001 decimalization. Finally, minimizing liquidity's influence on the estimated idiosyncratic volatility, by orthogonalizing the percentage of zero-return and spread effects on the estimated idiosyncratic volatility, demonstrates that the resulting idiosyncratic volatility estimate has little pricing ability. The Author 2011. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The Society for Financial Studies. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com., Oxford University Press.

特质波动率流动性偏差定价能力微观结构效应