通缩与萧条:是否存在实证关联?

Deflation and Depression: Is There an Empirical Link?

American Economic Review · 2004
被引 97
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

基于17个国家100多年的通胀与产出增长数据,研究发现除1930年代外,通缩与萧条之间几乎没有实证关联。

Abstract

Are deflation and depression empirically linked? No, concludes a broad historical study of inflation and real output growth rates. Deflation and depression do seem to have been linked during the 1930s. But in the rest of the data for 17 countries and more than 100 years, there is virtually no evidence of such a link.

通货紧缩经济萧条历史数据分析年代