高油价政策应对的性别分析:以南非为例

Gender Analysis of the Policy Responses to High Oil Prices: A Case Study of South Africa

Feminist Economics · 2015
被引 5
人大 A-ABS 2

中文导读

通过一般均衡模型分析南非2007-8年油价飙升的政策应对,发现资本流入缓解了汇率贬值,使得性别影响中性,否则女性市场机会将减少、工作量增加。

Abstract

The 2007–8 surge in oil prices has created concern about its impacts on poor and vulnerable populations in developing countries. Government management of the energy crisis was shown to be important in reducing adverse impacts. This study uses an applied general equilibrium framework to examine alternative policy and external shocks with the recent surge in oil prices in South Africa through a gender lens. Simulation results show that although the 2007–8 energy crisis contributed to slowing down South African gross domestic product (GDP) growth and reducing employment and earnings, the distributional impact between men and women has been neutral. This neutrality is driven by an increase in capital inflows, which has mitigated the exchange rate depreciation owing to the oil price hike. Without an increase in capital inflows, the crisis would have significantly depreciated the exchange rate and contributed to decreasing women's market opportunities and increasing women's workload as compared to men.

高油价政策性别分析可计算一般均衡南非