在多属性效用理论的应用环境中检验其稳健性

TESTING THE ROBUSTNESS OF MULTIATTRIBUTE UTILITY THEORY IN AN APPLIED SETTING*

DECISION SCIENCES · 1987
被引 67
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

将多属性效用理论应用于审计师的专业判断建模,通过简化模型与完整模型的预测准确性对比,检验该理论在实际应用中的稳健性。

Abstract

ABSTRACT Multiattribute utility theory (MAUT) was employed to model the professional judgments of external auditors. Fully developed MAUT models elicited from each subject according to keeney and Raiffa's [6] procedures were used to predict the internal control systems evaluations made by auditor‐subjects. Correlation analyses were used to compare the predictive ability of the “correct” MAUT models to the accuracy of models developed under simplifications of the MAUT procedures. One simplified model resulted from relaxing the requirements for attribute independence that determine the functional forms. A second modified MAUT function was formed using unitary weightings on conditional utility functions instead of elicited scaling constants. Tests showed essentially no significant differences in predictive accuracy among the models in the contact of this study.

审计多属性决策行为决策理论专家判断