Confronting the Environmental Kuznets Curve
探讨环境库兹涅茨曲线假说,即污染与经济发展呈倒U型关系,并分析其批评与乐观证据,指出经济自由化、清洁技术扩散和新型污染监管是曲线左移的驱动力。
The environmental Kuznets curve posits an inverted-U relationship between pollution and economic development. Pessimistic critics of empirically estimated curves have argued that their declining portions are illusory, either because they are cross-sectional snapshots that mask a long-run “race to the bottom” in environmental standards, or because industrial societies will continually produce new pollutants as the old ones are controlled. However, recent evidence has fostered an optimistic view by suggesting that the curve is actually flattening and shifting to the left. The driving forces appear to be economic liberalization, clean technology diffusion, and new approaches to pollution regulation in developing countries.