结构不稳定与库存的生产平滑模型

Structural Instability and the Production-Smoothing Model of Inventories

Journal of Business & Economic Statistics · 1998
被引 14
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

检验了库存生产平滑模型在六个非耐用品行业中的协整关系,发现协整矩阵秩不稳定,参数估计不支持该模型。

Abstract

The production-smoothing model of inventories implies that inventories, labor inputs, sales, and factor input prices are cointegrated if sales and factor prices are I(1) with one cointegrating vector for each state variable held. These propositions are tested in six nondurable-goods industries. All industries provide evidence of cointegration. Fewer quasi-fixed factors are found than previous research often assumed. Estimates of cointegrating vectors provide implausible parameter estimates. Rank stability tests, with fixed or seqentially chosen breakpoints, indicate that the cointegrating matrix has unstable rank. Parameter estimates of cointegrating vectors do not provide much support for the production-smoothing model of inventories.

库存生产平滑模型协整结构不稳定性非耐用品行业