Measuring the impact of consumption linkages on the employment effects of mechanisation in Philippine rice production
使用社会核算矩阵方法测量菲律宾不同水稻生产技术的消费关联,发现消费关联的间接效应对就业变化有重要影响。
Abstract A variant on the Social Accounting Matrix method is used to measure consumption linkages of alternative rice production technologies. The model is built for technology observed in the Philippines. Consumption linkages are computed by incorporating ‘consumption’, ‘distribution’, and ‘import substitution’ effects. One essence of the input‐output framework is the recognition of multiple sub‐sectors for production of a single product (rice). Simulations consider a one per cent change on consumer spending for rice met from one sub‐sector compared to another. Results indicate that the changes in employment that occur under different technological options depend importantly on the indirect effects arising from consumption linkages. Notes Post‐Doctoral Fellow, International Rice Research Institute, Los Banos, Laguna, Philippines, and Scientific Adviser, Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research, Washington, DC, respectively.