短视损失厌恶与股权溢价之谜

Myopic Loss Aversion and the Equity Premium Puzzle

Quarterly Journal of Economics · 1995
被引 2479 · 同刊同年前 10%
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

用短视损失厌恶解释股权溢价之谜,即投资者因损失厌恶且频繁评估投资组合,导致股票相对债券的超额收益偏高,模拟结果与年评估频率下的前景理论参数一致。

Abstract

The equity premium puzzle refers to the empirical fact that stocks have outperformed bonds over the last century by a surprisingly large margin. We offer a new explanation based on two behavioral concepts. First, investors are assumed to be “loss averse,” meaning that they are distinctly more sensitive to losses than to gains. Second, even long-term investors are assumed to evaluate their portfolios frequently. We dub this combination “myopic loss aversion.” Using simulations, we find that the size of the equity premium is consistent with the previously estimated parameters of prospect theory if investors evaluate their portfolios annually.

短视损失厌恶股权溢价之谜前景理论投资组合评估频率