Modeling the Impact of Organizational Change: A Bayesian Network Approach
回顾贝叶斯网络基础并讨论其优缺点，构建模型评估一家大型全球制造企业决策过程变革的潜在影响，详细说明网络构建、概率估计、一致性检验和推理步骤。
Bayesian networks offer a mechanism for diagnosing the key changes necessary for system improvement and for predicting the impacts of potential change actions. A review of the fundamentals of Bayesian networks is presented, with a discussion of strengths and weaknesses. A model is constructed to assess the impact of potential changes in the decision-making process of a large global manufacturing organization. The procedure for building a network structure, estimating conditional probabilities, assessing internal consistency, and conducting probabilistic inference are provided by the application.