The future of economics: the appropriately educated in pursuit of the knowable
认为经济学正经历重大变革，技术变化和旧方法红利耗尽促使研究重心从信息丰富环境中的无限理性主体转向信息贫乏环境中的有限理性个体，基于主体的模型和数据分析将更加重要。
This paper argues that, currently, significant change is taking place in economics because (1) technological changes in analytic and computing methods are opening up new avenues of study, and (2) the 'low hanging fruit' from previous approaches and methods have already been picked. It offers a vision of the future of economics that sees economists focusing less on the study of infinitely bright agents operating in information rich environments and more on the study of reasonably bright individuals operating in information-poor environments. Agent-based models and computer analysis of data will increase in importance, and deductive analytics will decrease in importance. Copyright 2005, Oxford University Press.