Political Institutions and Electric Utility Investment: A Cross-Nation Analysis
研究了政治制度如何影响电力公用事业投资,基于跨国数据分析了政治风险对基础设施投资决策的作用,对关注发展中国家投资环境的学者和从业者具有参考价值。
While cross-border investment flows are surging to levels not witnessed since before the Great Depression, the evaluation of political risk inherent in these projects has changed little since the 1960s. Since 1983, foreign direct investment inflows to developing countries have increased five-fold. From 1989 to 1992, the stock of American affiliates infrastructure assets grew by 153% leading to the share of total assets invested in infrastructure doubling from 1.6% to 3.0%. While this is but a fraction of the peak of 22% reached in 1940, recent research by the World Bank suggests that more than $2.0 trillion of new infrastructure will be required in East Asia and Latin America alone during the next ten years1. As developing countries have increasingly reopened their doors to foreign capital for such projects, multinational corporations need to carefully weigh the potential costs and benefits of reentering markets in which previous waves of investments were expropriated.