具有条件异方差的AR(∞)过程的渐近与Bootstrap推断

Asymptotic and Bootstrap Inference for AR(∞) Processes with Conditional Heteroskedasticity

Econometric Reviews · 2007
被引 112 · 同刊同年前 6%
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

证明了在未建模条件异方差下,对AR(∞)过程应用Bootstrap的渐近有效性,并比较了Bootstrap与稳健标准误的有限样本表现。

Abstract

The main contribution of this paper is a proof of the asymptotic validity of the application of the bootstrap to AR(∞) processes with unmodelled conditional heteroskedasticity. We first derive the asymptotic properties of the least-squares estimator of the autoregressive sieve parameters when the data are generated by a stationary linear process with martingale difference errors that are possibly subject to conditional heteroskedasticity of unknown form. These results are then used in establishing that a suitably constructed bootstrap estimator will have the same limit distribution as the least-squares estimator. Our results provide theoretical justification for the use of either the conventional asymptotic approximation based on robust standard errors or the bootstrap approximation of the distribution of autoregressive parameters. A simulation study suggests that the bootstrap approach tends to be more accurate in small samples.

AR(∞)过程条件异方差自回归筛分估计Bootstrap推断