最优货币政策的一个可行且客观的概念:战后时期的二次损失函数

A Feasible and Objective Concept of Optimal Monetary Policy: The Quadratic Loss Function in the Postwar Period

History of Political Economy · 2009
被引 14
人大 A-ABS 2

中文导读

论证二次损失函数不仅为复杂随机模型提供了可行解,还开创了讨论最优性的客观方式,从而稳定了最优货币政策的论述。

Abstract

Monetary economists argue that they adopted quadratic loss functions because the latter delivered easy solutions to complex stochastic models. In that narrative, Simon (1956) and Theil (1957) are mentioned by their proofs that models with quadratic objective functions have the certainty equivalence property, which made their solutions feasible for the computers available at that time. Appearing in that narrative are Poole (1970) and Sargent and Wallace (1975), who were among the first to apply the tool to monetary economics. In this article I argue that in addition to offering “solutions feasibility,” the use of a quadratic loss function to characterize the behavior of central banks also inaugurated an objective way of talking about optimality. In this respect, the tool stabilized the discourse on optimal monetary policy.

最优货币政策二次损失函数确定性等价中央银行行为