Note—On Choosing Between Rev. Bayes and Prof. Von Neumann
评论了Kadane与Larkey和Harsanyi关于博弈论与贝叶斯决策理论在管理决策中孰优孰劣的辩论,指出两种方法虽有亲缘关系但存在实质差异,对面临博弈模型的管理决策者具有参考价值。
In a recent issue of Management Science, Kadane and Larkey [10], [11] debated with Harsanyi [8], [9] on the relative merits of strategic policies derived from game theoretic vs. Bayesian decision-theoretic orientations. While the fact that the two orientations are virtually first cousins gives a Middle Eastern flavor to the discussion, just as the problems of that unfortunate spot on the globe, the two orientations have substantive differences that should be attended to by people faced with managerial decision problems modelled as games.