自助法设定检验的功效研究

On the Power of Bootstrapped Specification Tests

Econometric Reviews · 2005
被引 8
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

针对Bierens设定检验因统计量非渐近分布自由而不可行的问题,本文证明自助法能恢复原检验的功效和最优性,并提供可靠的p值。

Abstract

Decisions based on econometric model estimates may not have the expected effect if the model is misspecified. Thus, specification tests should precede any analysis. Bierens' specification test is consistent and has optimality properties against some local alternatives. A shortcoming is that the test statistic is not distribution free, even asymptotically. This makes the test unfeasible. There have been many suggestions to circumvent this problem, including the use of upper bounds for the critical values. However, these suggestions lead to tests that lose power and optimality against local alternatives. In this paper we show that bootstrap methods allow us to recover power and optimality of Bierens' original test. Bootstrap also provides reliable p-values, which have a central role in Fisher's theory of hypothesis testing. The paper also includes a discussion of the properties of the bootstrap Nonlinear Least Squares Estimator under local alternatives.

自助法Bierens检验模型设定检验局部备择假设