Shortfalls in the Long Run: Predictions about the Social Security Trust Fund
指出美国社会保障改革讨论常以信托基金长期预测的悲观数据为起点，例如2004年报告预测OASI信托基金将耗尽，无法支付全额福利。
iscussions of U.S. Social Security reform invariably begin by noting the gloomy long-run projections presented in the Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of the Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds. For example, the 2004 report predicts (in its "intermediate" scenario) that the Social Security trust fund, formally known as the Old Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) trust fund, will be empty and the program therefore unable to pay its full scheduled level of benefits