平衡经常账户:关于消费不足的实验证据

Balancing the current account: experimental evidence on underconsumption

Experimental Economics · 2014
被引 4
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

通过实验模拟固定汇率制下国家间政策协调,发现仅惩罚赤字国会持续压低消费,而同时惩罚盈余国则调整更快,支持凯恩斯关于消费不足的行为解释。

Abstract

Abstract How should countries in a fixed exchange rate system balance their current account? This question was at the center of the historical debate between Keynes and White in 1944 and is being debated increasingly these days for the Eurozone. Should consolidation by deficit countries be complemented by higher spending in surplus countries in order to avoid a downward bias in the level of consumption? We investigate the associated disequilibrium behavior experimentally, letting our experimental subjects act as heads of state who repeatedly seek to coordinate their policies. If only deficits are punished, as proposed by White, we observe that consumption is persistently reduced and adjustment is slower than in a treatment in which a surplus is also punished, as suggested by Keynes. We find support for the fact that underconsumption occurs for behavioral but not for rational reasons.

固定汇率制经常账户失衡消费不足凯恩斯-怀特辩论