一种用于估计害虫损害函数及伊利诺伊州西部玉米根虫大豆变种影响的组合误差模型

A Composed‐Error Model for Estimating Pest‐Damage Functions and the Impact of the Western Corn Rootworm Soybean Variant in Illinois

American Journal of Agricultural Economics · 2004
被引 40
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

提出一种组合误差模型来估计害虫造成的产量损失,相比传统模型能更准确估计损失方差,并发现西部玉米根虫大豆变种对农民确定性等价收益的影响被传统模型高估了16-26%。

Abstract

We describe a composed‐error model for estimating pest‐damage functions. The composed‐error model, originally developed to account for statistical noise when estimating technical efficiency, removes the effect of experimental errors when estimating the variance of yield loss from pest damage. As a result, the estimated variance of yield loss is often less than for a conventional model, which has economic implications when the analysis incorporates risk aversion. We find that, depending on the level of risk aversion, the western corn rootworm soybean variant reduces farmer certainty‐equivalent returns 16–26% more with a conventional model than with the composed‐error model.

害虫损害函数复合误差模型西方玉米根虫大豆变种风险规避