Official Crime Statistics: Their use and Interpretation
讨论经济学家用于估计犯罪经济模型的数据，分析英国、欧洲和美国官方犯罪统计的来源与可靠性，重点揭示受害者调查与官方统计的差异源于受害者少报和警方少录，并探讨影响少报的因素。
In this paper we consider the data used by economists to estimate economic models of crime. We discuss the main sources of Official Crime Statistics in the United Kingdom, Europe and the United States, and raise questions about the reliability of these data for estimation and forecasting purposes. In particular, we focus on the disparity between crime rates suggested by victimisation surveys and the rates suggested by Official Statistics, and show that this is primarily a consequence of under-reporting by victims and under-recording by the police. We conclude our analysis by considering the factors that influence the under-reporting of crime. Copyright Royal Economic Society 2002