Who Forecasts Better?
提出应将预测评估的重点从寻找“最佳”预测者转向识别“更好”的预测者，并开发了一种新方法，结果表明可以识别出“更好”的预测者。
This article suggests that the emphasis on forecast evaluations should be redirected from searching for "best" forecasters to finding those who are "better." A new methodology is developed, and the results indicate that it is possible to identify "better" forecasters.