Gaussian Influence Diagrams
提出高斯影响图框架，利用条件独立性简化多元正态分布的参数获取，并给出推断与决策分析的简单变换方法，适用于概率建模与决策分析。
An influence diagram is a network representation of probabilistic inference and decision analysis models. The nodes correspond to variables that can be either constants, uncertain quantities, decisions, or objectives. The arcs reveal probabilistic dependence of the uncertain quantities and information available at the time of the decisions. The influence diagram focuses attention on relationships among the variables. As a result, it is increasingly popular for eliciting and communicating the structure of a decision or probabilistic model. This paper develops the framework for assessment and analysis of linear-quadratic-Gaussian models within the influence diagram representation. The “Gaussian influence diagram” exploits conditional independence in a model to simplify elicitation of parameters for the multivariate normal distribution. It is straightforward to assess and maintain a positive (semi-)definite covariance matrix. Problems of inference and decision making can be analyzed using simple transformations to the assessed model, and these procedures have attractive numerical properties. Algorithms are also provided to translate between the Gaussian influence diagram and covariance matrix representations for the normal distribution.