Fertility and the Human Capital Loss of Non‐Participation
联合估计女性收入函数与生育及工作中断决策,发现忽略生育的内生性会严重偏误非就业时长对收入的影响,纠正了以往文献中广泛报告的负相关关系。
Female earnings function parameters are estimated jointly with interruption incidence and fertility decisions. We pay particular attention to the return to experience and the human capital loss parameter when women are allowed to self‐select into various possible combinations of interruption and fertility outcomes. We find that ignoring endogenous fertility decisions may seriously bias the effect of non‐employment spell lengths on female earnings, as well as the return to experience. To a large extent, the negative relationship between female earnings and non‐employment spell length, that is widely documented in the earlier literature, is the result of a misspecification of the earnings functions.