截断概率分布下均值-方差模型的稳健性

Robustness of the Mean‐Variance Model with Truncated Probability Distributions

American Journal of Agricultural Economics · 1991
被引 59
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

通过理论模拟,检验了当收入分布因商品期权合约而截断时,线性均值-方差模型能否近似期望效用模型的结果,发现两者在常数绝对风险厌恶和正态价格假设下接近,但比较静态结果存在不一致。

Abstract

Abstract The known sufficient conditions for the mean‐variance framework to produce expected utility results are violated in the presence of truncated probability distributions. A theoretical simulation is conducted to examine the ability of the linear mean‐variance model to approximate expected utility results when the income distribution is truncated by the use of commodity option contracts. The mean‐variance model is shown to produce solutions that are close approximations to the expected utility model results under the assumptions of constant absolute risk aversion and normally distributed prices. However, some inconsistency was found between the comparative static results of the two models.

均值-方差模型截断概率分布期望效用商品期权