Time to Retire? The Effect of State Fiscal Policies on Retirement Decisions
利用个人纳税申报面板数据,研究发现州所得税或销售税率每提高1个百分点,退休概率降低约8.7%,表明收入效应主导了退休决策。
Our research addresses the importance of state fiscal policies on the probability of retirement using a panel of individual tax return data. Results indicate that a one percentage point increase in the income or sales tax rate reduces the probability of retirement by about 8.7 percent. The evidence suggests that state spending might also affect retirement decisions but magnitudes are inconclusive. In general, the results suggest that the income effect dominates; that is, higher tax rates at the state-level reduce disposable income and decrease the probability of retiring. Results are similar in models examining single and married filers separately.